We combine the outputs of these models in intelligent ways to generate picks for every game - a method that analytics geeks refer to as "ensemble forecasting." Using multiple models helps overcome the particular blind spots that any one particular model is bound to have.
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And there are a lot of people who are very smart but not very good at predicting. So while IQ definitely helps, it isnt the whole story. Are superforecasters just really well-informed about the world? Again, sort of. The correlation between well-informedness and accuracy was.
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Also on the opposite side take note on the goaltenders playing in the game, if they have been on a hot streak; sometimes, regardless of how bad the team is playing, if the goaltender is hot, and making great saves, that will be a major.
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